Austin Peay
W-L: (25-30) PR = 92.7603Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A UNLV MW ( 7- 9, 91.7) 3- 7 214 A UNLV MW ( 7- 9, 91.7) 8- 9 214 A UNLV MW ( 7- 9, 91.7) 5- 3 215 A UNLV MW ( 7- 9, 91.7) 13-12 220 A Le Moyne NE ( 1- 7, 87.2) 6-11 221 H Eastern Michigan MA ( 1- 8, 89.2) 8- 7 222 H Eastern Michigan MA ( 1- 8, 89.2) 6- 1 224 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 3-16 227 A Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 4- 5 228 A Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 7- 1 228 A Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 0- 3 305 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 11- 8 306 H Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 10- 7 306 H Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 7- 6 307 A Utah Tech WAC (12-10, 93.3) 6- 7 310 H Ohio MA ( 0- 4, 86.2) 18- 5 310 H Ohio MA ( 0- 4, 86.2) 15- 6 313 A Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 15- 9 314 A Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 8- 9 315 A Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 12- 3 317 A Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 5- 9 320 H Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 8-11 321 A Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 12-11 322 H Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 5-19 324 A Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 2- 6 327 A Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 4- 1 328 A Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 0- 8 329 A Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 8- 4 331 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 4-13 402 A Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 5- 2 403 A Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 6- 7 404 A Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 12- 9 407 H Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 5- 9 410 A Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 3- 5 411 H North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 12-13 412 H North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 5-15 414 H Tennessee Tech OV ( 5-13, 90.0) 17- 7 417 H Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 5- 2 417 H Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 16- 6 419 H Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 10- 5 422 A Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 4- 6 424 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 5- 6 425 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 10-11 426 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 6- 2 501 H Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 5- 2 502 H Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 2- 1 503 H Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 7- 8 506 A Southeast Missouri Sta OV ( 4- 6, 93.6) 5- 7 508 H Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 2- 5 509 H Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 2- 4 510 H Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 15- 2 514 H Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 2-10 515 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 1-15 516 A North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 4- 8 519 A Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 1- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A UNLV 3- 7 -4 0 -- -4.40
214 A UNLV 8- 9 -1 0 -1.40
214 A UNLV 5- 3 2 0 1.60
215 A UNLV 13-12 1 0 0.60
220 A Le Moyne 6-11 -5 5 --- -9.85
221 H Eastern Michigan 8- 7 1 4 - -3.19
222 H Eastern Michigan 6- 1 5 4 0.81
224 A Mississippi State 3-16 -13 -7 -- -5.75
227 A Cincinnati 4- 5 -1 -5 + 3.68
228 A Cincinnati 7- 1 6 -5 +++ 10.68
228 A Cincinnati 0- 3 -3 -5 1.68
305 H Mississippi State 11- 8 3 -6 +++ 8.90
306 H Ole Miss 10- 7 3 -4 +++ 7.23
306 H Arizona 7- 6 1 0 1.39
307 A Utah Tech 6- 7 -1 -1 0.17
310 H Ohio 18- 5 13 7 ++ 5.78
310 H Ohio 15- 6 9 7 1.78
313 A Bellarmine 15- 9 6 1 ++ 5.08
314 A Bellarmine 8- 9 -1 1 -1.92
315 A Bellarmine 12- 3 9 1 +++ 8.08
317 A Ole Miss 5- 9 -4 -6 1.59
320 H Lipscomb 8-11 -3 1 -- -4.19
321 A Sam Houston 12-11 1 -1 + 2.36
322 H Lipscomb 5-19 -14 1 --- -15.19
324 A Alabama 2- 6 -4 -5 1.00
327 A Central Arkansas 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.63
328 A Central Arkansas 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -7.37
329 A Central Arkansas 8- 4 4 -1 ++ 4.63
331 A Tennessee 4-13 -9 -5 -- -4.40
402 A Eastern Kentucky 5- 2 3 1 + 2.13
403 A Eastern Kentucky 6- 7 -1 1 -1.87
404 A Eastern Kentucky 12- 9 3 1 + 2.13
407 H Central Arkansas 5- 9 -4 1 -- -4.73
410 A Troy 3- 5 -2 -4 + 2.14
411 H North Alabama 12-13 -1 0 -1.03
412 H North Alabama 5-15 -10 0 --- -10.03
414 H Tennessee Tech 17- 7 10 3 +++ 6.54
417 H Bellarmine 5- 2 3 2 0.72
417 H Bellarmine 16- 6 10 2 +++ 7.72
419 H Bellarmine 10- 5 5 2 + 2.72
422 A Western Kentucky 4- 6 -2 -2 0.27
424 A Lipscomb 5- 6 -1 0 -0.84
425 A Lipscomb 10-11 -1 0 -0.84
426 A Lipscomb 6- 2 4 0 ++ 4.16
501 H Central Arkansas 5- 2 3 1 + 2.27
502 H Central Arkansas 2- 1 1 1 0.27
503 H Central Arkansas 7- 8 -1 1 -1.73
506 A Southeast Missouri Sta 5- 7 -2 -2 -0.44
508 H Eastern Kentucky 2- 5 -3 2 -- -5.22
509 H Eastern Kentucky 2- 4 -2 2 -- -4.22
510 H Eastern Kentucky 15- 2 13 2 +++ 10.78
514 H Iowa 2-10 -8 -2 -- -5.60
515 H UC Santa Barbara 1-15 -14 -3 --- -11.18
516 A North Alabama 4- 8 -4 -1 - -2.68
519 A Jacksonville 1- 7 -6 -2 -- -4.44
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A Le Moyne 6-11 -5 5 --- -9.85 322 H Lipscomb 5-19 -14 1 --- -15.19 328 A Central Arkansas 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -7.37 412 H North Alabama 5-15 -10 0 --- -10.03 515 H UC Santa Barbara 1-15 -14 -3 --- -11.18 213 A UNLV 3- 7 -4 0 -- -4.40 224 A Mississippi State 3-16 -13 -7 -- -5.75 320 H Lipscomb 8-11 -3 1 -- -4.19 331 A Tennessee 4-13 -9 -5 -- -4.40 407 H Central Arkansas 5- 9 -4 1 -- -4.73 508 H Eastern Kentucky 2- 5 -3 2 -- -5.22 509 H Eastern Kentucky 2- 4 -2 2 -- -4.22 514 H Iowa 2-10 -8 -2 -- -5.60 519 A Jacksonville 1- 7 -6 -2 -- -4.44 221 H Eastern Michigan 8- 7 1 4 - -3.19 516 A North Alabama 4- 8 -4 -1 - -2.68 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Cincinnati 7- 1 6 -5 +++ 10.68 305 H Mississippi State 11- 8 3 -6 +++ 8.90 306 H Ole Miss 10- 7 3 -4 +++ 7.23 315 A Bellarmine 12- 3 9 1 +++ 8.08 414 H Tennessee Tech 17- 7 10 3 +++ 6.54 417 H Bellarmine 16- 6 10 2 +++ 7.72 510 H Eastern Kentucky 15- 2 13 2 +++ 10.78 310 H Ohio 18- 5 13 7 ++ 5.78 313 A Bellarmine 15- 9 6 1 ++ 5.08 329 A Central Arkansas 8- 4 4 -1 ++ 4.63 426 A Lipscomb 6- 2 4 0 ++ 4.16 227 A Cincinnati 4- 5 -1 -5 + 3.68 321 A Sam Houston 12-11 1 -1 + 2.36 327 A Central Arkansas 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.63 402 A Eastern Kentucky 5- 2 3 1 + 2.13 404 A Eastern Kentucky 12- 9 3 1 + 2.13 410 A Troy 3- 5 -2 -4 + 2.14 419 H Bellarmine 10- 5 5 2 + 2.72 501 H Central Arkansas 5- 2 3 1 + 2.27 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A UNLV ( 7- 9, 91.7) 3- 7 -8.21 10.21 0.68 0.53 -1.98
3 A UNLV ( 7- 9, 91.7) 8- 9 -8.21 10.21 0.68 0.53 -1.98
3 A UNLV ( 7- 9, 91.7) 5- 3 -8.21 10.21 0.68 0.53 11.45
3 A UNLV ( 7- 9, 91.7) 13-12 -8.21 10.21 0.68 0.53 11.45
3 A Le Moyne ( 1- 7, 87.2) 6-11 -12.67 5.76 0.68 0.53 -3.15
3 H Eastern Michig ( 1- 8, 89.2) 8- 7 -10.65 7.78 -0.68 0.53 7.47
3 H Eastern Michig ( 1- 8, 89.2) 6- 1 -10.65 7.78 -0.68 0.53 7.47
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 3-16 -0.56 17.86 0.68 0.53 -0.03
3 A Cincinnati (38-21, 96.8) 4- 5 -3.13 15.29 0.68 0.53 -0.65
3 A Cincinnati (38-21, 96.8) 7- 1 -3.13 15.29 0.68 0.53 16.79
3 A Cincinnati (38-21, 96.8) 0- 3 -3.13 15.29 0.68 0.53 -0.65
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 11- 8 -0.56 17.86 -0.68 0.53 18.08
3 H Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 10- 7 -2.23 16.20 -0.68 0.53 16.32
3 H Arizona (17-36, 93.8) 7- 6 -6.08 12.35 -0.68 0.53 12.28
3 A Utah Tech (12-10, 93.3) 6- 7 -6.65 11.78 0.68 0.53 -1.57
3 H Ohio ( 0- 4, 86.2) 18- 5 -13.68 4.75 -0.68 0.53 4.28
3 H Ohio ( 0- 4, 86.2) 15- 6 -13.68 4.75 -0.68 0.53 4.28
3 A Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 15- 9 -8.74 9.69 0.68 0.53 10.90
3 A Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 8- 9 -8.74 9.69 0.68 0.53 -2.12
3 A Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 12- 3 -8.74 9.69 0.68 0.53 10.90
3 A Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 5- 9 -2.23 16.20 0.68 0.53 -0.41
3 H Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 8-11 -7.65 10.77 -0.68 0.53 -2.19
3 A Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 12-11 -6.46 11.97 0.68 0.53 13.30
3 H Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 5-19 -7.65 10.77 -0.68 0.53 -2.19
3 A Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 2- 6 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.53 -0.56
3 A Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 4- 1 -7.19 11.24 0.68 0.53 12.53
3 A Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 0- 8 -7.19 11.24 0.68 0.53 -1.71
3 A Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 8- 4 -7.19 11.24 0.68 0.53 12.53
3 A Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 4-13 -3.21 15.22 0.68 0.53 -0.67
3 A Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 5- 2 -8.69 9.74 0.68 0.53 10.95
3 A Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 6- 7 -8.69 9.74 0.68 0.53 -2.11
3 A Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 12- 9 -8.69 9.74 0.68 0.53 10.95
3 H Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 5- 9 -7.19 11.24 -0.68 0.53 -2.07
3 A Troy (40-31, 96.2) 3- 5 -3.68 14.75 0.68 0.53 -0.79
3 H North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 12-13 -6.50 11.93 -0.68 0.53 -1.89
3 H North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 5-15 -6.50 11.93 -0.68 0.53 -1.89
3 H Tennessee Tech ( 5-13, 90.0) 17- 7 -9.92 8.51 -0.68 0.53 8.24
3 H Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 5- 2 -8.74 9.69 -0.68 0.53 9.48
3 H Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 16- 6 -8.74 9.69 -0.68 0.53 9.48
3 H Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 10- 5 -8.74 9.69 -0.68 0.53 9.48
3 A Western Kentuc (28-27, 94.4) 4- 6 -5.55 12.88 0.68 0.53 -1.28
3 A Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 5- 6 -7.65 10.77 0.68 0.53 -1.83
3 A Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 10-11 -7.65 10.77 0.68 0.53 -1.83
3 A Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 6- 2 -7.65 10.77 0.68 0.53 12.04
3 H Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 5- 2 -7.19 11.24 -0.68 0.53 11.11
3 H Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 2- 1 -7.19 11.24 -0.68 0.53 11.11
3 H Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 7- 8 -7.19 11.24 -0.68 0.53 -2.07
3 A Southeast Miss ( 4- 6, 93.6) 5- 7 -6.26 12.17 0.68 0.53 -1.47
3 H Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 2- 5 -8.69 9.74 -0.68 0.53 -2.46
3 H Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 2- 4 -8.69 9.74 -0.68 0.53 -2.46
3 H Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 15- 2 -8.69 9.74 -0.68 0.53 9.53
3 H Iowa (34-21, 95.8) 2-10 -4.07 14.36 -0.68 0.53 -1.25
3 H UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 1-15 -3.64 14.78 -0.68 0.53 -1.14
3 A North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 4- 8 -6.50 11.93 0.68 0.53 -1.53
3 A Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 1- 7 -6.26 12.17 0.68 0.53 -1.47
------
224.97
|
winning pts = 272.3614 losing points = -47.3875
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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